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Maxwell "Play-Off" Predictions

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2015 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons and teams with 100 or more championship wins in the simulation are shown.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.


Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
 

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County 1-AAAAAA 8-0 99.03 860,703 835,346 667,417 454,586 1.20
Grayson 8-AAAAAA 8-0 94.51 880,757 762,368 467,161 239,945 3.17
Roswell 5-AAAAAA 7-0 93.31 697,215 614,372 341,119 161,315 5.20
Archer 8-AAAAAA 6-1 88.70 615,973 405,280 144,368 55,613 16.98
Mill Creek 7-AAAAAA 7-0 84.26 883,524 367,529 118,139 34,134 28.30
Camden County 1-AAAAAA 8-0 82.43 310,440 241,719 88,868 20,115 48.71
Peachtree Ridge 7-AAAAAA 5-2 81.32 790,529 226,806 61,648 14,529 67.83
McEachern 4-AAAAAA 6-1 81.23 329,595 174,204 46,513 10,798 91.61
Walton 5-AAAAAA 7-1 76.28 100,421 80,083 21,958 3,468 287.35
Norcross 7-AAAAAA 7-0 74.28 635,197 106,896 18,574 2,540 392.70
Lowndes 1-AAAAAA 5-3 77.69 108,093 52,195 11,052 2,022 493.56
Newton 2-AAAAAA 6-1 69.43 363,285 42,685 5,622 492 2,031.52
Parkview 8-AAAAAA 5-2 69.69 17,714 9,816 1,457 154 6,492.51

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Stephenson 6-Div A-AAAAA 6-1 78.05 701,656 600,288 485,843 318,048 2.14
Mays 6-Div B-AAAAA 7-0 76.68 627,590 522,088 408,980 242,734 3.12
Northside (Warner Robins) 2-AAAAA 7-0 75.61 468,345 379,716 279,265 164,618 5.07
Northgate 4-Div A-AAAAA 7-0 67.49 647,077 374,803 149,172 59,332 15.85
Coffee 3-AAAAA 7-1 66.37 510,034 316,487 110,525 42,037 22.79
Allatoona 5-AAAAA 7-1 65.72 585,526 184,628 94,358 33,587 28.77
Creekside 6-Div B-AAAAA 6-2 68.01 395,256 237,608 77,975 32,460 29.81
Stockbridge 4-Div B-AAAAA 7-0 62.86 482,021 221,661 65,888 19,733 49.68
Lanier 8-AAAAA 7-0 63.18 445,611 198,420 56,469 17,574 55.90
Jones County 2-AAAAA 6-1 64.72 173,693 103,243 50,590 16,714 58.83
Glynn Academy 3-AAAAA 5-2 63.32 266,407 138,698 42,143 12,648 78.06
East Paulding 5-AAAAA 6-1 61.28 457,297 111,177 41,103 11,428 86.50
Houston County 2-AAAAA 6-1 61.35 258,491 115,770 28,534 7,483 132.64
Starr’s Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 7-0 58.97 296,102 76,283 19,286 4,498 221.32
Carver (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 6-1 56.80 303,032 52,671 20,560 3,984 250.00
Ware County 3-AAAAA 5-2 62.39 62,895 32,012 11,026 3,171 314.36
Dalton 7-Div A-AAAAA 6-2 56.23 197,966 74,278 14,078 2,570 388.11
Alexander 5-AAAAA 6-1 55.87 162,898 40,063 7,870 1,448 689.61
South Paulding 5-AAAAA 5-2 56.30 109,884 26,650 5,530 1,041 959.61
Effingham County 3-AAAAA 6-2 58.06 56,159 21,991 4,891 999 1,000.00
Loganville 8-AAAAA 7-1 53.92 128,125 39,393 6,226 947 1,054.97
Carver (Atlanta) 6-Div B-AAAAA 5-2 55.21 98,587 29,549 4,307 760 1,314.79
South Effingham 3-AAAAA 6-1 56.08 56,791 20,176 3,959 681 1,467.43
Woodland (Stockbridge) 4-Div B-AAAAA 6-1 52.60 131,236 23,407 3,288 451 2,216.29
Kell 7-Div B-AAAAA 5-2 53.55 35,378 10,235 1,426 227 4,404.29
Paulding County 5-AAAAA 5-2 52.03 62,070 9,504 1,495 197 5,075.14
Cambridge 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-1 51.21 48,268 13,069 1,676 185 5,404.41
Drew 4-Div A-AAAAA 5-2 52.73 51,779 5,954 1,027 143 6,992.01
Creekview 7-Div A-AAAAA 5-3 53.46 13,123 3,924 789 123 8,129.08

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford 8-AAAA 6-1 72.48 844,123 706,450 510,264 335,185 1.98
Cartersville 7-AAAA 7-0 69.51 858,644 673,452 451,545 241,794 3.14
Woodward Academy 5-AAAA 7-0 66.79 689,466 512,719 245,105 121,295 7.24
Sandy Creek 5-AAAA 6-1 67.28 671,161 480,011 238,278 119,562 7.36
Bainbridge 1-Div B-AAAA 8-0 65.36 517,374 369,939 179,155 78,135 11.80
St. Pius X 6-AAAA 5-2 59.01 676,568 252,560 89,465 26,778 36.34
Thomson 3-AAAA 6-1 59.27 635,686 185,218 76,588 24,840 39.26
Jonesboro 4-Div B-AAAA 7-1 59.20 434,619 145,935 55,101 16,854 58.33
Mary Persons 2-AAAA 7-0 57.67 394,513 138,670 40,614 11,504 85.93
Marist 6-AAAA 6-2 56.00 524,844 153,637 35,003 9,233 107.31
Locust Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 7-0 55.38 255,173 89,720 29,870 7,026 141.33
Burke County 3-AAAA 6-2 52.14 220,354 43,795 9,237 1,803 553.63
Liberty County 3-AAAA 5-3 50.90 131,772 38,787 8,440 1,399 713.80
Carrollton 5-AAAA 4-3 49.95 210,141 45,435 7,697 1,135 880.06
Spalding 4-Div B-AAAA 6-1 51.85 76,949 29,651 4,857 940 1,062.83
Worth County 1-Div B-AAAA 4-3 52.30 53,709 16,904 4,005 773 1,292.66
West Laurens 2-AAAA 6-2 48.07 94,758 18,785 2,810 372 2,687.17
Cairo 1-Div A-AAAA 3-3 48.54 65,762 18,704 2,462 346 2,889.17
Veterans 2-AAAA 4-3 46.54 107,896 17,083 2,321 267 3,744.32
Eastside 4-Div A-AAAA 5-2 48.56 29,605 8,476 1,080 162 6,171.84
Arabia Mountain 6-AAAA 4-3 43.97 106,168 10,031 1,218 130 7,691.31
Stephens County 8-AAAA 6-1 44.21 75,148 10,499 1,371 122 8,195.72
Wayne County 3-AAAA 3-5 45.47 71,742 9,462 992 107 9,344.79

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Calhoun 6-AAA 7-0 70.50 940,897 877,179 635,639 453,457 1.21
Jefferson 8-AAA 8-0 65.68 695,335 630,641 542,950 239,098 3.18
Blessed Trinity 4-Div B-AAA 7-0 67.03 740,569 697,769 354,215 218,862 3.57
Cedar Grove 4-Div A-AAA 6-1 57.39 344,556 295,232 161,020 44,590 21.43
Central (Carrollton) 5-AAA 7-0 50.48 569,071 336,415 89,205 14,473 68.09
Elbert County 8-AAA 6-1 52.36 251,988 161,990 36,997 9,925 99.76
Westside (Macon) 2-AAA 6-1 47.75 408,214 139,153 31,176 4,666 213.32
Adairsville 6-AAA 6-1 44.55 420,188 194,943 30,767 3,002 332.11
Peach County 2-AAA 6-2 44.90 424,842 108,199 18,458 2,323 429.48
Jackson 2-AAA 5-2 42.97 424,300 152,731 24,714 2,227 448.03
Laney 3-AAA 5-2 42.21 479,028 56,988 24,377 1,874 532.62
Pierce County 1-Div A-AAA 6-1 45.78 320,339 51,171 10,654 1,690 590.72
Dodge County 1-Div A-AAA 7-0 45.07 233,945 44,728 8,743 1,213 823.40
Hart County 8-AAA 5-2 43.48 198,121 38,053 5,938 691 1,446.18
Callaway 5-AAA 6-1 41.17 190,093 39,181 5,329 462 2,163.50
Cook 1-Div A-AAA 6-2 43.69 55,810 20,794 3,462 349 2,864.33
Central (Macon) 2-AAA 4-3 39.33 210,830 20,902 4,027 297 3,366.00
Oconee County 8-AAA 6-1 39.09 113,532 27,780 2,960 206 4,853.37
Jenkins 1-Div B-AAA 5-2 39.89 74,874 23,234 2,510 157 6,368.43
Spencer 2-AAA 4-3 39.04 108,229 12,980 1,563 120 8,332.33

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Benedictine 2-AA 7-0 68.34 868,094 745,171 653,531 452,529 1.21
Greater Atlanta Christian 6-AA 6-1 65.06 873,830 715,814 653,750 357,747 1.80
Fitzgerald 1-AA 6-1 56.43 872,922 254,897 175,433 70,846 13.12
Rabun County 8-AA 7-1 51.81 727,030 486,946 116,329 40,643 23.60
Brooks County 1-AA 6-2 49.66 787,591 208,725 135,746 32,170 30.08
Jefferson County 3-AA 5-2 47.56 646,353 303,067 53,951 14,890 66.16
Wesleyan 6-AA 7-0 47.50 244,394 113,096 44,703 9,506 104.20
Darlington 7-AA 7-0 43.24 463,494 291,976 51,613 7,405 134.04
Macon County 4-AA 5-2 42.34 385,964 203,002 32,776 4,495 221.47
Lamar County 4-AA 5-2 39.78 368,439 178,359 24,023 2,678 372.41
Early County 1-AA 5-2-1 43.33 251,619 71,556 11,406 2,086 478.39
Pace Academy 6-AA 5-2 42.80 189,857 74,465 9,473 1,608 620.89
Lovett 6-AA 4-4 40.73 202,369 93,196 13,474 1,584 630.31
Screven County 3-AA 7-1 37.23 132,770 55,695 6,614 586 1,705.48
Dublin 3-AA 6-2 38.09 63,855 23,906 4,093 422 2,368.67
Union County 8-AA 7-1 32.56 183,487 50,767 3,887 222 4,503.50
Model 7-AA 7-1 37.09 79,302 18,226 1,459 178 5,616.98

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Clinch County 2-A 6-1 47.47 906,775 664,024 455,764 291,712 2.43
Turner County 2-A 6-1 44.93 898,616 641,677 373,967 208,001 3.81
Marion County 4-A 6-1 41.77 910,181 592,792 341,324 151,613 5.60
Charlton County 2-A 5-1 42.79 876,047 564,079 289,507 141,834 6.05
Irwin County 2-A 4-2-1 42.60 786,582 413,073 212,725 105,763 8.46
Emanuel County Institute 3-Div B-A 6-1 37.11 763,764 367,379 129,027 45,221 21.11
Lincoln County 7-Div B-A 7-0 37.44 532,952 243,698 88,372 31,283 30.97
Commerce 8-A 4-3 34.48 539,190 164,763 56,492 15,946 61.71
Trion 6-Div A-A 5-2 29.26 336,188 90,288 17,762 3,547 280.93
Wilkinson County 7-Div A-A 5-2 27.33 240,803 62,039 10,840 1,862 536.06
Mount Zion (Carroll) 6-Div A-A 6-2 25.95 225,214 63,227 9,562 1,455 686.29
Telfair County 2-A 4-3 26.09 221,297 44,254 7,122 1,093 913.91
Dooly County 4-A 4-3 22.31 141,750 25,780 2,998 357 2,800.12
Mitchell County 1-A 3-4 15.37 286,022 30,602 2,123 113 8,848.56

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Record Rating Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Prince Avenue Christian 8-A 8-0 59.67 982,258 897,130 710,314 573,594 0.74
Eagle’s Landing Christian 5-A 4-3 53.15 908,530 737,235 324,171 192,905 4.18
Mount Paran Christian 6-Div A-A 7-0 49.25 875,381 592,854 350,287 125,815 6.95
Aquinas 7-Div B-A 6-1 42.78 764,143 414,670 188,900 41,557 23.06
Savannah Christian 3-Div A-A 6-1 40.52 769,183 384,770 174,601 31,308 30.94
Landmark Christian 5-A 5-2 37.31 679,379 248,992 75,077 11,384 86.84
Calvary Day 3-Div A-A 6-1 37.80 665,116 225,875 70,890 10,941 90.40
Athens Academy 8-A 6-1 36.16 508,324 99,860 28,269 4,481 222.16
Pinecrest Academy 6-Div B-A 6-1 33.42 559,023 146,851 40,496 4,373 227.68
Stratford Academy 7-Div A-A 5-2 33.20 412,489 114,368 21,362 2,639 377.93
Christian Heritage 6-Div A-A 4-4 28.77 178,310 38,246 4,440 408 2,449.98
Brookstone 4-A 4-3 25.79 273,675 42,532 5,481 317 3,153.57
Pacelli 4-A 5-2 23.57 239,130 28,351 2,862 143 6,992.01
Mount Pisgah Christian 6-Div B-A 3-4 25.19 85,986 18,107 2,229 114 8,770.93
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